The International Energy Agency (IEA) on Tuesday raised its oil demand growth forecasts for this year and next despite slower economic growth in nearly all major economies, although its 2024 outlook remains much lower than that of producer group Opec.
The Paris-based IEA said the market could shift into surplus at the start of 2024 having been kept in a “significant deficit” through year-end by voluntary cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia which last until the end of December.
“For now, with demand still exceeding available supplies heading into the Northern Hemisphere winter, market balances will remain vulnerable to heightened economic and geopolitical risks – and further volatility ahead,” the IEA said in a monthly report.
Oil has weakened to around $82 a barrel for Brent crude from a 2023 high in September near $98. Concern about economic growth and demand has pressured prices, despite support from supply cuts by Opec and its allies, and conflict in the Middle East.
The IEA…
